After Donald Trump’s surprise victory last year, it became almost gospel with beltway pundits that liberals were living in a bubble. That’s been followed by a never-ending stream of profiles of Trump supporters (aka Real Americans) who — wouldn’t ya know it? — vowed to stick with him no matter what. Now given the fact that Trump’s win shocked most […]

There is no evidence that the establishment is overruling the will of the people in the Democratic primary 1) Clinton has consistently led national match-ups. Sanders was gaining ground on her, but that appears to have stopped and even reversed. At no point in the entire cycle has he led the Huffington Post polling average. If we went back now […]

There are eight Republicans running to replace Cindy Gamrat in Michigan’s 80th State House District, including Gamrat herself. A new poll by Grassroots Midwest, Inside Michigan Politics, and Target Insyght shows that Gamrat is in second place with 14 points, trailing Mary Whiteford by 17 points. The most notable result of the poll, in my opinion, is that if Gamrat […]

With just a month remaining before the primary election to choose the Republican and Democratic candidates in the 82nd Michigan House district, Todd Courser is in a three-way tie to replace himself with himself according to new polling results released this morning by Grassroots Midwest, Inside Michigan Politics, and Target Insyght. The poll of 300 likely Republican primary voters in […]

To get and keep a job, you need a reliable way to get there. If you lose your job – particularly if your income was low to start with – affording and maintaining a reliable vehicle is difficult, maybe impossible. And without a reliable vehicle, it’s harder to get or keep a job. Especially in areas, like much of Southeast […]

So why did he wait until after the election?

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll is making news with President Obama at an approval ratings 50% for the first time in over a year. Other polls show his rating improving as well. Look at Gallup or Pew. It seems the rise is not just a blip in one poll but consistent across the organizations measuring presidential approval.

The press has noticed and seems to be crediting an improving economy. USA Today, for example, writes, “Good economic news appears to be fueling Obama’s improved ratings in a string of recent polls.”

Your vote and work could make the difference I suspect Chris is doing his GOTV work this morning, so I thought I would throw up a quick update. In case you missed it, three polls came out yesterday showing the governor’s race neck and neck: Mitchell: Snyder 47 Schauer 47 PPP: Snyder 46 Schauer 45 Clarity: Snyder 45 Schauer 45 […]

Is Schauer tied with Snyder? Down by 5? Somewhere in between? This may be old hat for some of you, but people keep asking me what’s going on with the polling in the Governor’s race and I thought I would put together a little primer. For reference, just in the last week, NYT/CBS has had Schauer up by 1 point, […]

Back in September, Harry Enten wrote a piece on Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog taking GOP pollster Steve Mitchell to the woodshed for adjusting his polling when he didn’t get the answer he wanted. Mitchell had polled several races in Michigan and, when the numbers didn’t agree with what he thought they should be, he went back to the phones to […]

Photo by Anne C. Savage, special to Eclectablog I always look forward to Public Policy Polling (PPP) polls because they are one of the most accurate pollsters in the country. They have a new poll out, done for the League of Conservation Voters, that has some very good news for Democrats. First, Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate is crushing his […]

See update below. If you are sitting around wondering if it’s worth your while to get involved in the massive Get Out the Vote (GOTMFV) effort in the last two weeks of this election, two polls out this week should give you the nudge that you need. First we have a poll by Republican pollster Mitchell Research & Communication that […]