2016, Donald Trump — May 12, 2016

Donald Trump is playing the role of The Mule from Isaac Asimov’s Foundation Trilogy

by

Anyone making predictions about the outcome of the 2016 presidential race is on a fool’s errand. The existence of a Donald Trump candidacy is a disruptor. It creates such chaos and uncertainty that nothing about the race is predictable.

Lately I’ve been thinking about the parallels between Donald Trump as a political candidate and the character of The Mule in Isaac Asimov’s award-winning science fiction trilogy The Foundation. In Asimov’s stunning and groundbreaking books, a mathematician named Hari Seldon discovers a way of predicting the future with great certainty. In Seldon’s model, no one person can have a measurable impact on the future of the galaxy. However, by studying and measuring the actions of large groups of people, he is able to make predictions about the future downfall of civilization. Although he cannot prevent the collapse, Seldon creates “The Foundation” to shorten the period of time of colossal upheaval that will follow.

All goes along swimmingly until the appearance of The Mule. Here’s how it is described in the Asimov Wikia:

The Mule was a powerful mentalic mutant, warlord, and conqueror who posed the greatest threat to the Seldon Plan. His acute telepathic ability to modify the emotions of human beings derailed one of the basic assumptions of Hari Seldon’s psychohistory – that, in general, the responses of human populations to given stimuli will remain the same. [..]

Physically, The Mule was considered a freak by most people who gazed upon him…It was said that one could not look at the Mule without derision.

In fact, The Mule enters the scene pretending to be a clown named ‘Magnifico Giganticus’. Over time, he uses his psychomanipulative powers to sway legions of people to his side and eventually takes over the galaxy.

Donald Trump is our present-day ‘Magnifico Giganticus’. He’s a farcical, clown-like character with a bizarre visage that many look upon with derision. He’s able to sway people into believing that he – a multimillionaire – is a candidate for the average American. More to the point, he’s a disruptive factor that throws sand into the gears of political prognostication.

Economist Paul Krugman explains the key to defeating The Mule and inadvertently, perhaps, Donald Trump:

Which brings us to the Mule, the deus ex mutagen who drives the swerve in the plot halfway through the series. […]

The Mule is a mutant whose ability to control others’ emotions lets him conquer the Foundation and threaten the whole Seldon Plan. To contain the menace, the Second Foundation – a hidden group of psychohistorians, the secret keepers of the Plan – must emerge from hiding. So far, this sounds like any of a hundred tales of the struggle between good and evil. But Foundation isn’t that kind of series. The problem, you see, isn’t how to defeat the Mule and ensure the triumph of truth, justice, and the Foundation way. It is, instead, to get the Plan back on track – and that requires making sure that nobody understands the Plan!

So the Mule (who, as I said, isn’t an entirely unsympathetic character) must be defeated, but the defeat must be subtle – no dramatic space battles, no victory parade, in fact no obvious defeat at all. Characteristically for the whole series, the accomplishment of the Mule’s quiet defeat itself depends crucially on his not understanding the need for subtlety

I think there are things to learn here about how to defeat Trump. His lack of understanding of the need for subtlety may, in fact, be the key. How Democrats, and even many Republicans at this point, do it is not clear.

Perhaps it’s time for all of us to reread The Foundation trilogy again for clues.

  • KarenJ

    It’s been said before that the best science fiction writers are frighteningly amazingly prescient.

  • msu2ba

    Dr. A was a brilliant man and author. He even came close on the name. Instead of the Mule, we’ve got the Jack-ass.

  • judyms9

    Trouble is that Trump followers see him as a showier Howard Roark in Ayn Rand’s “The Fountainhead.”

    • JD

      Ah….yeah…the guy with no compassion, purely selfish intent, and the “I’m all right Jack” rationale for any abuse…sounds about right.

  • Loran

    It has also been said: “truth is stranger than fiction”

    • USN_RET

      This story could not have been written as a novel, and if it were it would be too “out there” for anyone to take seriously. Too bad that we are now all living it. You wrote in the hypothetical (before the election); I write in the midst of this horrible reality. I’m expecting to be commenting on President Pence any day now (another thought that sends shivers up my spine. How you spell “Christian Taliban”?)

  • Thomas Silverman

    Now the Mules’s conquered America. He is not subject to the laws of cause and effect. He is beyond the status quo. The maya of traditional politics has been overturned. Learn the truth. The matrix has been exposed. Trump is the glitch in the matrix. He is here to awaken us. Heed the lesson. Anything is possible. This is not about right or wrong. It is beyond polarity. It’s unpredictability is its beauty. Awaken.

    • Mary123s

      what?

    • JD

      I suppose disruptors have that benefit…and there is need for disruption. But I suspect that it is he wrong things that will be disrupted.

    • USN_RET

      I choose the blue pill; wake up in my bed & realize it was all just a dream. I was quite happy in the matrix.

  • Willie McBride

    The mule, we said…

  • Tex Gilmore

    You liberals have all got it wrong. Donald Trump is actually playing out the part of Hari Seldon. It is you who have been mislead by the real MULE, Barack Obama, and now we are seeing the coming of the Second Foundation and return to civilization. It is America that is about to reborn unto greatness.

    • USN_RET

      You need to read the series. Hari was a scientist and mathematician. He was devoted to fact & truth. Diametrically opposed to both tRump & the GOP establishment.

  • USN_RET

    Today is March 5, 2017 and we are in the midst of an ever-exploding scandal of Russian connections & alleged Obama wiretaps. Suddenly into my little head popped the idea of The Mule from the Foundation series which I read 30 years ago — particularly his disruptive nature which could not have been forecast or foreseen by any traditional means.

    So I go to google, type “Asimov the Mule” and google auto-completes “Trump” before I even type it. Well done, sir! Glad to know I’m not the only one who saw this parallel and you have certainly written more eloquently about it than I ever could have. What the google auto-complete tells me is that a lot of people are searching about this & want to learn more.

    • Fascinating. And thanks for the feedback.

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