Did Mitt Romney Just Surrender Ohio?

By on October 27, 2012 in Barack Obama, Mitt Romney

Clear eyes. Full heart. Can’t win Ohio.

Mitt Romney’s campaign has been doing the Charlie Sheen-iest to pretend they’re winning. But the facts are pretty obvious. If they can’t win Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada, they’re done.

Romney has never led in Ohio. President Obama has basically been running for “President of Ohio,” as Jon Stewart calls it for four years. And the fact that he saved the auto industry in a way that kept unions alive may be enough to swing it. If not, this ad helps.

Early voting and the Harry Reid machine in Nevada mean that state is almost wrapped up for the president.

Romney has never led in Wisconsin despite picking native Paul Ryan as his running mate. One poll has shown them tied, and it came from Republican pollster Rasmussen.

This new site from the Romney campaign is called ExpandtheMap.com but it should be called WeLostOhio.com.

Romney’s only hope now is to pick up Wisconsin and with it also carry Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Colorado and New Hampshire.

Basically he has to win every other swing state except Iowa.

Wisconsin now is the new Ohio. Romney has only tied in one recent poll and that was done by Republican pollster Rasmussen. The Romney campaign is emboldened by Scott Walkers crushing win in a recall earlier this year. But the electorate for that race was +1 Republican. You can’t expect that on November 6, and many of those voters were just voting against the recall.

The reality is that the candidate who wins Ohio will likely be the president, and Romney is realizing that won’t be him.

Get my new free e-book Big Lies of 2012 here.


  • Catherine Gross

    How will these people that are traveling across the nation, trying to suppress the vote affect things? They are only disturbing minorities…

  • GN

    Sound analysis. For all of the media hoopla, from the electoral college perspective, this has been a remarkably stable race.

  • MrBeale

    No complacency. Get out there and vote, Dems!

    • tobygal

      Get out there and vote Independents and Republicans. Take back America and put us to work! Ty Wood’s Dad wants answers and the President watching the Libya attack and not sending in help is horrible! Shows we have no leadership in Washington.

  • http://twitter.com/shotten99 Shotten99

    I’d caution against comparing the general election to the recall election in WI. Both times, they ran Bartlett of Milwaukee against Walker. All I took from that is they don’t want Bartlett as governor as the results were virtually identical. GOTV!

  • Linda Perry

    It is all great News. Romney has done a wickedly crude propaganda game on USA. Our national media is part of the problem. No candidate has ever lied as many times and frequently as Romney has in this cycle.

  • Freddie

    Very worried about the potential impact of Hurricane Sandy on the election. The East coast, and particularly the blue states of PA, NJ, DE, NY, and New England could be profoundly affected and have widespread power outages going into Election Day. Virginia, too. At the very least, it’s really going to screw up the GOTV efforts in those states. My township here in PA uses electronic voting machines, which will be
    useless if there’s no power. Sincerely hoping the county has enough
    printed ballots to go around if necessary.

    • lol

      That’s why early vote efforts are so important. Obama has been banking a lead. If turnout on election day is down, we’ll still be ahead.

  • http://profiles.google.com/profleejolliffe Lee Jolliffe

    The difficulties are 1) Tagg Romney’s ownership of e-voting machines in Hamilton County (Cincy) and 2) Scy of State Husted, who sent out absentee ballot request forms to ALL registered voters. Two million are out, only 800,000 are back. Plenty of room for vote-tampering there. (Remember Blackwell throwing Kerry’s 6% lead to Bush in 2004? I do.)

    • Dawn Rainbow

      That’s a distortion. Kerry never led in OH, exept in one poll by +1 point. Bush led the whole time. He did steal the first election in Fl, but i o think he won the 2nd fair & quare. Fair for GOTP & Bush.

      • http://twitter.com/LiberalActionNY Tom

        Actually, voting machine fraud is the only reason Bush “won” in Ohio or Florida in 2004.

    • http://twitter.com/bpicampus BPI Squirrel

      For the record, Tagg Romney doesn’t own the e-voting machines, or the company that owns them. http://www.snopes.com/politics/romney/votingmachines.asp

      Summary: Tagg Romney has investments in a firm called Solamere, which shares some investments with another firm called H.I.G. Capital … but Solamere does not share H.I.G.’s investment in Hart-Intercivic, who own those e-voting machines.

      That said, I agree we must be wary of privately-owned voting machines and proprietary vote tabulation. I strongly support random audits of precincts in every state, on the night of or morning after the election, with publicly-monitored hand counts of ballots compared to machine-reported vote totals. Such random audits, with severe penalties if vote tampering is found, would both make it foolish to tamper with votes and provide hard data of such tampering in time for legal redress before the election results are certified.

      We can and should do a better job of ensuring public confidence in our elections. Part of that is not repeating baseless rumors about candidates’ sons owning the voting machines in a key swing state.

  • Mike

    Romney will win Ohio.

    • Dawn Rainbow

      Myth will never win OH, it”s not close enough to steal. Rest asured that Holder & Obama are monitoring OH very closely. OH i already ours. 40% already voted & Obama leads by 63%-36%. How can he win that? At least 60% would have to vote for Myth to win, won’t happen. Myth can continue to lead from behind here, way behind. LOL

  • http://twitter.com/MichaelH2013 Michael Homan

    Mike…No He will not….Obama Got Ohio, Just like ROmney likes to think I can see the future and I see Romney failing

  • Mo

    Myth Romney’s melt-down has begun and momentum fading. Obama’s clinching it. Though clearly it is not his best performance, but Mr Prez. Whichever group called you Retard, has self-destructed. You deserve another term Mr President. Americans have a heart; they want a change but not that uninspired by abusive Ann Coultier, Sununu, Sarah Keech Keech Palin, Shaun Hysterical Hannity, Mark Classless Levin, Monica Crawley, Rush Rasputin Bye bye variety. God bless Obama, God bless US. We shall all rise as ONE.

    • tobygal

      Not true! By the way our President seems to think that men should get a free pass on family. Wonder where that comes from? Maybe from his mother “marrying” a man who was already legally married to another woman who had already given him children. A man that left her to raise her child like he had his other wife or wives. He wants women to be able to get abortions so they won’t be burdened or burden a man with a baby, since women have no morals and we all lay down with a different guy every night like a bitch in heat does. Yeah, women should be able to get rid of that baby because we have no clue who the father is. But we should not take any responsibility or protect ourselves from STD’s. The taxpayer should pay for our medical treatments for vaginal warts, clap or herpies. Oh and the tax payer should have to pay for that abortion because it’s the taxpayers fault young women are in heat and have to throw their legs up in the air for any man who wants them too. But men should just be free to drop that sperm were ever he can find and opening. No responsibility or financial obligation. No, it should only be the lowly female who has her insides scaped out.

      • Pit

        Toby, you are a deeply sick person. I am sorry for what ever it was that made you turn out that way. Seek help it, is never too late.

        • tobygal

          What part of what I wrote isn’t true? The Democrats look at women for only one purpose. Lady parts! Hillary Clinton was tossed aside for a man with a minimum of qualifications but, he was a man. We have not come as far as we thought have we? We have a Vice President who is a total embrassment. Just this past week he asked a grieving father if his son “always had big balls?” With everything you could say to this father you say that! Hillary is the person answering the phone at 3 in the morning but not well when it comes to our Embassy people. The President splits hairs by mentioning “acts of terror” instead of “terrorist attack.” He and Hillary blame a video? We have a President who gives us lip service, gets on the plane and flies to Vegas to campaign. They didn’t send help, they watched our people for 7 hours as they are under attack and NO ONE stands up and says I made the choice to not send HELP! The President calls Romney a liar? We have lost our way. We kill babies and picket against the dealth penalty???? Someone kills their 7 month old and we put them in jail for 25 years but 10 months earlier it was okay. It cost you $56.00 for the morning after pill, $680 for the abortion pill, $800 for an abortion for the first trimester, $1200 to $2,000 after that. We justify that abortion because we don’t want to be embrassed for people to know we are pregnant or we had a one night stand with some Tom, Dick or Harry and have no clue and we don’t want to go on that TV show to find out who the Daddy baby is. It would be enlighting to see how many women who have been told by their doctor that the baby is so damaged they should consider abortion. I know 4 and none of them chose to kill the baby with an abortion. All 4 had the baby and all 4 babies died before 6 months of age. It was hard for the parents and the extended family but they gave life to those babies. They tried. Women are more than their “lady parts!”

      • Mary1972

        You are one sick puppy.

        • tobygal

          And again, stop and think….

          What part of what I wrote isn’t true? The Democrats look at women for only one purpose. Lady parts! Hillary Clinton was tossed aside for a man with a minimum of qualifications but, he was a man. We have not come as far as we thought have we? We have a Vice President who is a total embrassment. Just this past week he asked a grieving father if his son “always had big balls?” With everything you could say to this father you say that! Hillary is the person answering the phone at 3 in the morning but not well when it comes to our Embassy people. The President splits hairs by mentioning “acts of terror” instead of “terrorist attack.” He and Hillary blame a video? We have a President who gives us lip service, gets on the plane and flies to Vegas to campaign. They didn’t send help, they watched our people for 7 hours as they are under attack and NO ONE stands up and says I made the choice to not send HELP! The President calls Romney a liar? We have lost our way. We kill babies and picket against the dealth penalty???? Someone kills their 7 month old and we put them in jail for 25 years but 10 months earlier it was okay. It cost you $56.00 for the morning after pill, $680 for the abortion pill, $800 for an abortion for the first trimester, $1200 to $2,000 after that. We justify that abortion because we don’t want to be embrassed for people to know we are pregnant or we had a one night stand with some Tom, Dick or Harry and have no clue and we don’t want to go on that TV show to find out who the Daddy baby is. It would be enlighting to see how many women who have been told by their doctor that the baby is so damaged they should consider abortion. I know 4 and none of them chose to kill the baby with an abortion. All 4 had the baby and all 4 babies died before 6 months of age. It was hard for the parents and the extended family but they gave life to those babies. They tried. Women are more than their “lady parts!”

          • http://eclectablog.com Eclectablog

            Continue to spam this blog and I will ban you, “tobygal”.

    • Dawn Rainbow

      Exactly, we are a kind, fair, good people not a bigoted group a Sununu/Coulter respresent. We do not insult our fellow Americans for biological problem they can’t help like retardation. We do not pretend to be Christian when we’re not, & are just haters. Yea, we are our brothers’ keepers .

  • writewriterandtutor
  • http://twitter.com/RayBeckerman RayBeckerman

    I don’t see the connection between the headline and the story.

  • http://twitter.com/sunnyjim4 sunnyjim

    How does your title reflect what you wrote in the article. I see nothing in the article that indicates Romney has conceded or surrendered Ohio. It’s just a nice recap of the current state of the election. Guess it might bring in a view visits however.

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