Why We Have To Start Thinking About 2014 Now

We’re not getting Obama on the ballot until Malia is ready

2012 was extraordinarily important election because it decided whether ObamaCare would be maimed before it could even go into effect. However, whether the law gets funded and properly will be a constant question because of an election too many Americans just skipped—2010.

Republicans got about 500,000 fewer votes for the House of Representatives than Democrats but they kept their huge majority and they’ll likely keep it until 2020 for one reason: Republicans came out in massive numbers in 2010. This gave them the power to gerrymander districts so they can’t lose—creating an electoral map that virtually guarantees Republican control of the House for a decade.

Slate’s Dave Weigel points out that the President won Pennsylvania by 5 percent, but Republicans still held 8 of the 13 congressional seats.

This means the president will never fully be able to implement his agenda—unless 2014 turns out to be an even bigger landslide for Democrats. It also means the only people that most of the Republicans in the House ever have to answer to will be primary voters.

Todd Akin, for instance, couldn’t win a Senate seat but he was elected to the House ten times. So what we’ll see if Republicans dare to compromise are even more extreme candidates coming out of contested primaries.

In Michigan, Democrats picked up 5 seats in the state House but, with only 4,000 more votes, the House would be tied 55-55.

The margins in 2014 will be tiny compared to 2012 and the GOP knows that the few groups they haven’t alienated—white people in their 50s, 60s AND 70s—are the ones that are most likely to show up at the polls. And while Citizens United and outside didn’t affect this election much, dark money groups like Americans For Prosperity dominated in 2010.

OFA is likely going away. Unless we start organizing now with a positive agenda—public option, anyone?—we’re guaranteeing that Republicans will dominate state and local politics in most states while being encouraged to obstruct the president every chance they get.

If we let that happen, what have we won?

  • http://twitter.com/GeekHillbilly Geek Hillbilly

    For me,I’ve already started on the effort of ridding my state of Kentucky of 2 of what CREW calls the Most corrupt – Hal Rogers and Mitch McConnell.The DITCH MITCH effort is going full throttle.Hal Rogers must be forced out.

  • Ivy Redneck

    Yep. Plan ahead instead instead of having a fire drill. Envision what kind of nation we want 20 years from now, and build it. 2014, a House Majority. 2016, Single Payer. In Michigan, we need fair redistricting. How can we get THERE ?

  • kirke123

    time to find a great canidate to oust snyder. the last opponent could be a good leader but no balls.

    we need a personality who knows how to take it to them and keep banging the drums. a person who is well known in the fight for womens rights, workers rights, and public education rights and who can start campaigning now!

    we must blow snyder and his party out of the water. but most of all we must get voters to come out and vote and to do that we must have a cause and a message!
    i can tell you this, gary mcdowall lost because he rec no outside ads from dems, if we dont have national dem party support our canidate with big money, then we end up like virg, gassping for air.

  • MoZeu

    Why do you think OFA is going away?

    • http://eclectablog.com Eclectablog

      Because David Plouffe said as much on a national media conference call last week. Also, try sending an email to one of the barackobama.com listservs. They were all shut down by last Friday.

  • Carol

    I’m with MoZeu…why, after the President said “your role as citizen doesn’t end with your vote…” do you think we won’t keep fighting and pushing policy, have the President’s back…what have you heard and from where?

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  • Tim

    In GA, I didn’t even see a non-Republican option in the majority of the ballot – no one else was on the ticket. I have no idea where our Democrat HQ/office is (if we even have one, which I doubt given that I haven’t seen any Obama signs anywhere but Romney signs in nearly every yard) but know exactly where the GOP HQ is without looking for it locally. They get out there and do what they can to rile people up to vote, and Democrats don’t even see a reason to bother since people slam doors in their face after yelling something about looking for handouts and get a job.

    • CL Nicholson

      What’s really a shame is that for all their bluster – OWS folks don’t cease the opportunity to drive the Democratic Party. Where are all those hippies in drum circles in Athens and Atlanta ?

  • smart guy

    Dems need to wake up and get smart and start playing for keeps like the Repubs do. They need to spend a few million to sue each state and local government as unconstitutional because it effectively reduces each Democratic vote to .8 and amplifies each Republican voters voting power by 1.2. This is unconstitutional and the lines were specifically drawn to defraud voters of equal voting power.

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  • Scott Urbanowski

    Let’s not forget: 2013! LOTS of local elections around the state and country next year!

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