Donald Trump has built a big, beautiful gender gap. And the question is, “Who is going to pay for it?”
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds that registered voters prefer House Democrats to Republicans by 11 percentage points while likely voters prefer Democratic House candidates by 13 points. This divide is the result of an enthusiasm among Democrats, younger adults, and non-whites unlike anything we’ve seen since 2008 and a massive gender gap.
Men prefer Republicans by 2 percentage points while WOMEN back Democrats by 22 percentage points. That’s a yawning 24-point gender gap.
This is why Republicans have been talking about all the reasons it’s terrifying to be a man, including higher wages and a tiny chance you might not get away with sexual assault. Republicans need to turn out men and turn off women from voting. And this Republican Party is expert at turning off women.
Right now, 77 percent of Americans say they will vote in November. That’s up from 65 percent in 2014 and turnout will decide this election. The CBS Battleground Tracker finds that if new midterm voters stay home and the electorate looks like recent midterms, Republicans will win 218 seats and keep their majority by one seat.
Enthusiasm appears to be on Democrats’ side and candidates seem to have enough money to compete against Republicans even with billionaires tithing a small fraction of their “tax cuts for the rich” to the GOP. But there are always reasons to be worried. The right seems to be dominating Facebook in the same way they did in 2016, spending way more on digital advertising than Democrats and, though even Fox News has backed off covering Trump’s rallies, they remain a powerful organizational tool that doesn’t seem to have a counter on the right.
Laura Olin was the voice of President Obama’s digital communications and she’s raised millions of dollars for non-profits. She was also the creator of the amazing Everything Changes newsletter and is currently running the Votes for Women project. We wanted to talk to her about whether Democrats have learned anything from 2016 and how to turn women’s anger into votes.
Laura Olin on Twitter: @LauraOlin
Laura Olin on the web: LauraOlin.com
Votes for Women on Twitter: @WeVoteForWomen
A shitty thing is that GOTV research shows that talking about voter suppression before an election can actually lower turnout rates because people get discouraged. A campaign I worked on scrapped a big educational piece about suppression for this reason. https://t.co/ztU2Z20J3O
— laura olin (@lauraolin) September 10, 2018
Votes for Women online: VotesForWomen.co
Sign up for the Votes For Women newsletter HERE.
The Good — Planned Parenthood isn’t rolling over and playing dead – they have a post-Roe plan
David Crary at The Washington Post: Planned Parenthood launches plan to protect abortion access
Planned Parenthood’s 3-Part Plan: Care For All: A 3-Part Plan to Protect and Expand Access to Abortion in the United States
The Bad — Voter suppression in Georgia and other places continues to ramp up
Amy Gardner at The Washington Post: GOP claims of voter fraud threat fuel worries about ballot access in November
The Shrugly ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ — The rich are killing us—with the help of the GOP
Eric Levitz at New York Magazine – The Intelligencer: The GOP Gutted the IRS — and the Rich Made Out Like Bandits
David Cooper and Teresa Kroeger at the Economic Policy Institute: Employers steal billions from workers’ paychecks each year
Luke Darby at GQ: Billionaires Are the Leading Cause of Climate Change
Flint Water Crisis update
The Detroit News: Flint residents seek to reinstate Snyder in water suit
Ron Fonger a MLive: DHHS staffer says she was told to lie about Flint blood lead leve
The Detroit News: Doc charged in Legionnaires’ death gets accolade
Ron Fonger at MLive: Former Flint EM heads to court, but law that gave him power remains unchanged
Ron Fonger at MLive: Former Flint EM, water prosecutor confirm they’re working on a plea deal
The show notes for Episode 17 of The GOTMFV Show are at http://www.eclectablog.com/2018/10/the-big-beautiful-gender-gap-with-special-guest-laura-olin.html
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Intro and transition music: You Dress Like an Asshole by Not The 1s
Progressives Everywhere intro/outro: They’re Everywhere by Jim’s Big Ego
Flint Water Crisis Update intro: Unclaimed by Mike Wagner/Total Strangers
Outro music: Complain (from the movie Bob Roberts) by David Robbins & Tim Robbins