Podcast — September 16, 2018 at 9:15 am

Are we reliving 2016 in 2018? (w/ Josh Pugh from For Our Future) and a Manafort update from Marcy Wheeler/@EmptyWheel


Marcy Wheeler on Twitter: @EmptyWheel

Marcy Wheeler at EmptyWheel.net: Paul Manafort’s $46 Million plea deal
Marcy Wheeler at EmptyWheel.net: Checkmate: The Manafort cooperation is pardon proof
Marcy Wheeler at EmptyWheel.net: The objection that made Mueller’s case
Marcy Wheeler at EmptyWheel.net: A comparison of Rick Gates and Paul Manafort’s plea deals

This week Democrats lead in many polls expanded to double digits, Paul Manafort’s criminal past finally caught up to him and headlines like “Trump Is Nuts. This Time Really Feels Different” along with stories about Republican fingerpointing about who is to blame for the impending disaster are bubbling up like a rash you’d get from cheating on your nursing wife multiple times without a condom.

No, it’s not September 2016. It just feels that way.

On September 15, 2016, Hillary Clinton had a 71.3% chance of becoming president. On Sept 15, 2018, Dems have a 82.9% chance of taking the House.

The numbers are eerily similar and so is the vibe. Forecasts keep getting better for Democrats, Mueller is closing in promising some vague vindication and meanwhile all the forces that made Trump possible—voter suppression, gerrymandering, big money dominating politics and hacking—haven’t been fixed. If anything, they’re worse. And if you think what Comey did was bad in late September 2016, you better expect something even worse from Republicans—who control all three branches of government—this year.

If you’ve ever listened to this show, you know it isn’t just a possibility that Democrats could win the popular vote by more than 9 percent and not take the House, it actually happened, less than a year ago, in Virginia.

Good polls are like Trump’s tweets — you’re better off ignoring them.

Senator Brian Schatz said: Every time he does something awful, you do something to help Dems win. He tweets, you phone bank. He announces a bad policy, you send money to a democrat. He hurts people, you knock on doors. For the next 55 days we have one way to express our outrage and that is to work to win.

Add good polls to that list. Good polls are the enemy. When you hear them, do what our guest today does and work to elect some one who will check Trump before it’s too late.

There are a number of groups do work outside of the official Democratic Party that complements their work. Many you’ve heard of but one may not have heard of is For Our Future, a coalition of major labor unions along with Tom Steyer’s NextGen that are raising tens of millions of dollars to put staff on the ground in multiple states to do canvassing, run ads, and perhaps most importantly, to listen to voters and tell their stories, let THEM speak about the issues that mean the most to them.

Josh Pugh is the Communications Director for For Our Future Michigan, a group with over 80 paid staffers in our state alone. He’s with us this week to tell us what they’ve learned from 2016 and what they’re going to do about it.

Josh Pugh on Twitter: @JPughMI

For Our Future Michigan on Twitter: @ForOurFutureMI

For Our Future Michigan on the web: ForOurFutureMI.org

For Our Future Michigan on Medium: Memo: Feedback Loop Data from 214,000 Doors and Counting in Michigan

Fredreka Schouten at USA TODAY: Labor unions launch $50 million super PAC

The Good– Bill Schuette, Mike DeWine and Scott Walker are all lying about health—and that’s good news because it shows how popular Obamacare has become since Republicans began their effort to kill it.
Scott Bauer at The Wisconsin News: Scott Walker pledges to protect pre-existing conditions coverage as candidates clash over health care

Hannah Levintova at Mother Jones: Paul Ryan Says Republicans Will Take Another Run at Obamacare After the Midterms — But only if they retain control of the House and Senate.

The Bad — The Trump administration literally acting to make climate change worse, rolling back methane emission standards
USEPA Rule to roll back methane emission standards: Oil and Natural Gas Sector: Emission Standards for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources Reconsideration

Lauren Gensler at Forbes: The World’s Largest Oil And Gas Companies 2017: Exxon Reigns Supreme, While Chevron Slips

Zack Colman at E&E News: Trump’s move on methane begins bigger effort on potent gas

Coral Davenport at The New York Times: Trump Administration Wants to Make It Easier to Release Methane Into Air

USEPA: Overview of Greenhouse Gases

The Shrugly ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ — You shouldn’t retweet Trump (except when you should)
Jason Sattler at USA TODAY: Stop helping Donald Trump spread his lies. Don’t correct, don’t rage, just turn away.

Progressives Everywhere‘s Candidate of the Week (via @JordanZakarin): Anna Kaplan for New York’s 7th Senate District, Monica Martinez for New York’s 3rd Senate District, and Peter Harckham for New York’s 40th Senate District.

Donate to New York state Senate candidates at Progressives Everywhere HERE.

The show notes for Episode 13 of The GOTMFV Show are at http://www.eclectablog.com/2018/09/are-we-reliving-2016-in-2018-w-josh-pugh-from-for-our-future-and-a-manafort-update-from-marcy-wheeler-emptywheel.html

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Music clips
Intro and transition music: You Dress Like an Asshole by Not The 1s
Progressives Everywhere intro/outro: They’re Everywhere by Jim’s Big Ego
Flint Water Crisis Update intro: Unclaimed by Mike Wagner/Total Strangers
Outro music: Complain (from the movie Bob Roberts) by David Robbins & Tim Robbins